Yesterday, our own Nate Wahl made his first ever college football picks of the week, so I thought this week I’d do my own version for the NFL. I’ll make these picks against the spread, hell I’ll play the over/under as well. Do with them what you will. Enjoy week 3!
Baltimore Ravens (-3.5) at Jacksonville Jaguars (London) (Over/Under: 39.5)
After looking like the best defense in the league in week 1, the Jags took a crap against the Titans. The Ravens don’t have a ton of offense, but they’ve played great defense as well to get them to 2-0. I’ll take the Ravens in this matchup because of the inconsistency of Blake Bortles.
Result: Ravens cover, take the under.
Denver Broncos (-3) at Buffalo Bills (Over/Under: 39)
Denver’s defense has been dominant the first 2 weeks of the season, and Buffalo was only able to manage 3 points against the Panthers last week. I think the Broncos offense will come back down to Earth, but even that should be enough this week.
Result: Broncos cover, take the under
Pittsburgh Steelers (-7.5) at Chicago Bears (Over/Under: 44)
The Bears haven’t been good to start the season, but I still think this is a surprisingly high line. Steelers are notoriously underwhelming on the road and are missing several key players. That being said, the Bears have the 28th scoring defense in the league, and this could be just what Pittsburgh needs to get their offense going
Result: Steelers cover, take the over
Atlanta Falcons (-3) at Detroit Lions (Over/Under: 51)
The Falcons have showed no signs of slowing down, and the Lions have been a pleasant surprise as well. Vic Beasley being out is they key here and could give Detroit enough of a chance.
Result: Falcons cover, take the over.
Cleveland Browns (-1.5) at Indianapolis Colts (Over/Under: 42.5)
The Browns are favored on the road for the first time since 2011, which is a surprise in itself even against these Colts. Kizer is battling migraine issues, Jamie Collins is out with a concussion, Corey Coleman just had surgery on his hand, and Myles Garrett still won’t make his NFL debut. Wouldn’t be surprised if the Browns won, but the Colts were a better team last week with Brissett starting at QB.
Result: Colts win outright, take the over
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-2.5) at Minnesota Vikings (Over/Under: 39)
The Bucs dominated last week against the Bears in their first game of the season. The Vikings will once again be without Sam Bradford, and the Bucs do look as good as advertised.
Result: Tampa Bay covers, take the over
Houston Texans at New England Patriots (-14) (Over/Under: 44)
The Patriots destroyed the Saints and their awful defense last week, leading to this big spread. This will be the first big test of DeShaun Watson’s young career, but the Pats defense isn’t very intimidating. The Pats o-line last week looked shaky against the Saints pass rush so I can’t wait to see what the Texans front seven will do. Pats will win, but it’ll be a close game than you think.
Result: Texans cover, take the over
Miami Dolphins (-6) at New York Jets (Over/Under: 43)
This is one game I will not turn to on Sunday Ticket. Cutler looked solid last week, but that’s a guy I will never trust. The Jets defense is bad, but their front seven could do well against the Dolphins average offensive line.
Result: Dolphins cover, take the under
New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles (-6) (Over/Under: 42.5)
The most disappointing team so far in the Giants go on the road to face the Eagles who could easily be 2-0 if not for the questionable call that led to their demise in week 1. The Eagles will have success against the Giants o-line, but I think Odell Beckham has a bounceback week.
Result: Giants cover, take the under
New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers (-5.5) (Over/Under: 46)
The Saints rank dead last in pass defense, and second to last in scoring defense. The Panthers have firepower with Cam Newton, Kelvin Benjamin, and Christian McCaffrey. The Panthers defense has bounced back from last years struggles and I don’t think this game ends up being very close. Oh yeah, and the Saints #1 cornerback is out this week with a concussion.
Result: Panthers cover, take the over
Seattle Seahawks at Tennessee Titans (-2.5) (Over/Under: 41)
The Seahawks offense has been atrocious. The Rams just put up 41 points on the 49ers and the Seahawks could only put up 13. Seattle is another team that struggles on the road, and the Titans have been better than expected defensively. I think the Titans win due to Seattle’s lack of offense, but it won’t be very high scoring.
Result: Titans cover, take the under
Kansas City Chiefs (-3) at Los Angeles Chargers (Over/Under: 47.5)
The Chiefs have been on fire to start the year. Kareem Hunt is a beast, Tyreek Hill is dynamic, and that defense is shutting people down. The Chargers offensive line has had it’s struggles and Melvin Gordon is battling a knee injury. I don’t see this coming down to the last possession like the last 2 Chargers games have.
Result: Chiefs cover, take the under
Oakland Raiders (-3) at Washington Redskins (SNF) (Over/Under: 54.5)
On paper, the Raiders should win this game. They’ve averaged 35 points per game and the Skins are in the bottom 7 in scoring defense. The Skins have struggled to get their passing game going and their starting running back is expected to be out for the game. Derek Carr is 4-1 in primetime games, and I’d expect that trend to continue with this explosive offense.
Result: Raiders cover, take the over.
Dallas Cowboys (-3) at Arizona Cardinals (MNF) (Over/Under: 46.5)
The Cardinals have struggled out of the gate, but so have the Cowboys. Zeke was completely shut down vs Denver and it could happen again as the Cardinals have a top 10 rush defense through 2 games. The matchup to watch though will be Dez Bryant vs Patrick Peterson, and the winner of that matchup likely leads their team to victory.
Result: Cowboys cover, take the under
There are my picks! Enjoy week 3 everyone!