The Combine is done and over with and now that it’s done, we can better project the first round. No trades in this mock, and we can’t project free agency either, so we go with what we know and how the combine affects the stocks of the prospects.
You can see version 1.0 of my mock draft here
(LM = Change from the last mock draft)
#1. Cleveland Browns: Saquon Barkley – RB – Penn State (LM: Up 2)
A running back #1 is blasphemy in most NFL circles, but this guy is the real deal. You can’t bank on him being there at #4.
#2. New York Giants: Sam Darnold – QB – USC (LM: Down 1)
With Barkley gone, the Giants take their successor to Eli Manning.
#3. Indianapolis Colts: Bradley Chubb – EDGE – NC State (LM: Up 4)
Colts need a bit of everything, and with their QB situation set, they can take the best player available. And Chubb is clear and away the best pass rusher in the draft. The Colts could also easily trade down with a team looking for a top QB.
#4. Cleveland Browns (Via HOU): Josh Allen – QB – Wyoming (LM: Up 1)
Dream scenario works out but in a different order. They get their playmaker on offense, and their QB of the future.
#5. Denver Broncos: Josh Rosen – QB – UCLA (LM: Down 3)
Can’t project Cousins or Keenum to the Broncos here, so they take the purest passer in the draft.
#6. New York Jets: Baker Mayfield – QB – Oklahoma (LM: Up 9)
Broadway Baker? In this mock, the Jets take a QB that can be a leader in the locker room, and has a history of playing his best when it matters most.
#7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Denzel Ward – CB – Ohio State (LM: Up 2)
The Bucs could go pass rusher here, but it could be a reach to take Marcus Davenport or Harold Landry here at 7. So they take the #1 corner in the draft, who backed up the talk with a stellar showing at the combine.
#8. Chicago Bears: Quinton Nelson – OG – Notre Dame (LM: Up 4)
The Bears have to decide if they want to reach a bit by taking Calvin Ridley at 8, or go with the guy many are saying is the safest prospect in the draft. And with the Bears recent struggles on the offensive line, I say they take someone that can help protect Mitch Trubisky now, and then take a receiver like Courtland Sutton, DJ Moore, or DJ Chark in the 2nd round.
#9. San Francisco 49ers: Minkah Fitzpatrick – CB/S – Alabama (LM: Down 5)
John Lynch doesn’t pass up on one of the best defensive prospects in the draft, that I’m sure they didn’t expect to be here at #9.
#10. Oakland Raiders: Roquan Smith – LB – Georgia (LM: No change)
A fast and rangy linebacker, seems like he was born to put on a Raider uniform. Jon Gruden is gonna love this guy.
#11. Miami Dolphins: Tremaine Edwards – LB – Virginia Tech (LM: NR)
With Denzel Ward and the top 4 QBs off the board, the Dolphins take an athletic do-it-all linebacker that’s only 19 years old and has one of the highest upsides in the draft.
#12. Cincinnati Bengals: Connor Willaims – OT – Texas (LM: Down 6)
Bengals desperately need offensive line help, and with Nelson off the board, they take the next best guy.
#13. Washington Redskins: Derwin James – S – Florida State (LM: No change)
The Skins could use some help in the secondary, and James is athletic freak that can play either corner or safety.
#14. Green Bay Packers: Harold Landry – EDGE – Boston College (LM: Up 7)
The underwhelming combine performance by Josh Jackson forces his stock to fall a bit, which also leads the Packers to go pass rusher at 14. Landry put up double digit sacks his junior year, but his production slowed down his senior year due to an ankle injury.
#15. Arizona Cardinals: Lamar Jackson – QB – Louisville (LM: NR)
Can be a gamebreaker on offense with his athleticism. And with the way the QB game is going with more rollouts and RPO’s, he has a very high ceiling in the league. Although his floor is low as well.
#16. Baltimore Ravens: Cavlin Ridley – WR – Alabama (LM: Down 8)
Ravens need a jumpstart in their offense, so they take the #1 receiver on the board.
#17. Los Angeles Chargers: Rashaan Evans – LB – Alabama (LM: Down 6)
Chargers fill the one hole on their defense with a top level sideline-to-sideline linebacker
#18. Seattle Seahawks: Josh Jackson – CB – Iowa (LM: Down 4)
He may have had a so-so performance at the combine, but Jackson still has the physical tools and the ball skills that the Seahawks seem to love. And with Sherman coming off an achilles injury, corner becomes a top need.
#19. Dallas Cowboys: Marcus Davenport – EDGE – UTSA (LM: NR)
With DeMarcus Lawrence demanding a king’s ransom in free agency, they might as well draft his replacement. Has one of the highest ceilings in the draft, but is a bit of a project.
#20. Detroit Lions: Vita Vea – DT – Washington (LM: Down 1)
He’s an athletic freak that can move anywhere across the line. I could definitely see Matt Patricia falling in love with this guy. And it’d be a steal to get him here at 20.
#21. Buffalo Bills: James Daniels – C – Iowa (LM: NR)
With Eric Wood’s forced retirement, they get his replacement with the guy that’s separated himself as the best center in the draft.
#22. Buffalo Bills: Da’Ron Payne – DT – Alabama (LM: NR)
Payne killed it at the combine, and after trading Marcel Dareus this last year, the Bills need help on the inside.
#23. Los Angeles Rams: Christian Kirk – WR – Texas A&M (LM: Up 1)
The Rams traded for Marcus Peters so their need for a corner in the first round gets delayed. With Sammy Watkins going into free agency, the Rams get more help for Goff, and Kirk really helped himself this weekend.
#24. Carolina Panthers: Mike McGlinchey – OT – Notre Dame (LM: Down 7)
The Panthers o-line has really struggled and they need someone to take some hits off of Cam Newton. McGlinchey comes in and starts on day one at either left or right tackle.
#25. Tennessee Titans: Leighton Vander Esche – EDGE – Boise State (LM: NR)
Titans could use a pass rusher, and although he was only a one year starter, Vander Esche put up big numbers and backed it up with one of the best showings at the combine this past weekend.
#26. Atlanta Falcons: Will Hernandez – OG – UTEP (LM: NR)
Not a ton of spots the Falcons need help in, so they get an athletic lineman that can help block for their speedy backs.
#27. New Orleans Saints: Dallas Goedert – TE – South Dakota State (LM: Up 2)
The Colby Fleener signing has failed spectacularly, so the Saints draft the #1 TE on the board as another weapon for Drew Brees.
#28. Pittsburgh Steelers: Ronnie Harrison – S – Alabama (LM: Down 2)
The Steelers would love for Rashaan Evans to fall to them, but with him gone, they help out their secondary with the Crimson Tide’s other star defensive back.
#29. Jacksonville Jaguars: Mike Gesike – TE – Penn State (LM: NR)
The defense is set, so the Jags need to do all they can to help their offense. They already have a good blocker in the vet Marcedes Lewis, so they get a super athletic weapon for whoever they decide to start at QB next year.
#30. Minnesota Vikings: Billy Price – C/OG – Ohio State (LM: Down 3)
Will likely miss most of the summer with a torn bicep, but Price will be back for the start of the season, and the Vikings could use some help on the offensive line.
#31. New England Patriots: Maurice Hurst – DT – Michigan (LM: Down 9)
Couldn’t work out at the combine due to a newfound heart condition, and if that causes him to slip and this work out? This would be a steal for the Patriots.
#32. Philadelphia Eagles: D.J. Moore – WR – Maryland (LM: NR)
The Eagles can afford to take the best player available because their roster is so stacked. And while the BPA may not exactly be Moore, he’s a receiver with the size and speed to eventually replace Torrey Smith and give Wentz another weapon.
Mock Draft Notes
Biggest Riser: Baker Mayfield – QB – Oklahoma (15 to ARZ)
Mayfield was able to show he could make the throws going against the other top prospects at the combine. I think teams will like his leadership and his fire.
Biggest Fall: Orlando Brown – OT – Oklahoma (17 to SEA)
Went from basically a first round lock to being a day 3 pick in a matter of hours. Mike Mayock described his combine performance as “historically bad” and Brown unquestionably cost himself tens of millions of dollars.